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Football model football_v1

Liga de Expansion MX

Durango vs Leones Negros crest Leones Negros

Fri 06 Nov 2026, 03:05 · FT 1 - 0

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.6 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Durango

1.30

Expected goals

total 3.24

Leones Negros

1.95

Metric Durango Leones Negros
Current form
8%
100%
Attack
54%
54%
Defence
40%
58%
Overall strength
40%
83%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
21%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.30–1.95, form 8/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Durango vs Leones Negros (1 - 0), selection "12" => WON.