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Football model football_v1

LALIGA 2

Real Valladolid crest Real Valladolid vs Leganés crest Leganés

Mon 02 Nov 2026, 17:30 · FT 4 - 3

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

55.2 low

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Real Valladolid

1.45

Expected goals

total 2.93

Leganés

1.48

Metric Real Valladolid Leganés
Current form
8%
38%
Attack
48%
48%
Defence
47%
53%
Overall strength
38%
49%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
37%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.45–1.48, form 8/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Real Valladolid vs Leganés (4 - 3), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.