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Football model football_v1

Liga Portugal

Benfica crest Benfica vs Alverca crest Alverca

Mon 02 Nov 2026, 20:15 · FT 1 - 0

Double Chance

12

Confidence

75.4 high

Data quality

84%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Benfica

2.23

Expected goals

total 3.45

Alverca

1.22

Metric Benfica Alverca
Current form
86%
61%
Attack
80%
57%
Defence
60%
57%
Overall strength
84%
68%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
64%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.23–1.22, form 86/61, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Benfica vs Alverca (1 - 0), selection "12" => WON.