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Football model football_v1

Super League

Panathinaikos crest Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens crest AEK Athens

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 17:30 · FT 2 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

59.1 low

Data quality

84%

sample 4

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Panathinaikos

1.84

Expected goals

total 3.14

AEK Athens

1.30

Metric Panathinaikos AEK Athens
Current form
93%
50%
Attack
48%
62%
Defence
58%
38%
Overall strength
75%
58%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
38%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.84–1.30, form 93/50, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 4 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens (2 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.