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Football model football_v1

2. Bundesliga

St. Pauli crest St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg crest 1. FC Nürnberg

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 12:30 · FT 1 - 3

Double Chance

1X

Confidence

70.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

St. Pauli

1.21

Expected goals

total 2.06

1. FC Nürnberg

0.85

Metric St. Pauli 1. FC Nürnberg
Current form
38%
8%
Attack
42%
42%
Defence
58%
52%
Overall strength
52%
35%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
60%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.21–0.85, form 38/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg (1 - 3), selection "1X" => LOST.