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Football model football_v1

Scottish Premiership

Falkirk crest Falkirk vs Celtic crest Celtic

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 13:00 · FT 2 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

71.2 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 4

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Falkirk

2.82

Expected goals

total 3.93

Celtic

1.11

Metric Falkirk Celtic
Current form
100%
23%
Attack
58%
45%
Defence
58%
37%
Overall strength
87%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
61%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.82–1.11, form 100/23, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 4 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Falkirk vs Celtic (2 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.