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Football model football_v1

EFL League Two

Shrewsbury Town crest Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham crest Gillingham

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 · FT 1 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

77.4 high

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Shrewsbury Town

2.78

Expected goals

total 4.47

Gillingham

1.69

Metric Shrewsbury Town Gillingham
Current form
38%
0%
Attack
57%
47%
Defence
43%
38%
Overall strength
53%
32%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
72%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.78–1.69, form 38/0, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham (1 - 2), selection "12" => WON.