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Football model football_v1

EFL League Two

Accrington Stanley crest Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town crest Northampton Town

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 · FT 1 - 1

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

65.9 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Accrington Stanley

2.14

Expected goals

total 3.55

Northampton Town

1.41

Metric Accrington Stanley Northampton Town
Current form
100%
100%
Attack
67%
52%
Defence
58%
58%
Overall strength
82%
78%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
54%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.14–1.41, form 100/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town (1 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.