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Football model football_v1

Liga de Expansion MX

Piratas vs Tapatío

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 01:00 · FT 1 - 1

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

66.6 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Piratas

2.63

Expected goals

total 3.60

Tapatío

0.97

Metric Piratas Tapatío
Current form
100%
8%
Attack
73%
48%
Defence
58%
46%
Overall strength
82%
37%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
88%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.63–0.97, form 100/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Piratas vs Tapatío (1 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.