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Football model football_v1

Scottish Premiership

Motherwell crest Motherwell vs St Mirren crest St Mirren

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 · FT 1 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

61.1 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Motherwell

1.33

Expected goals

total 3.25

St Mirren

1.93

Metric Motherwell St Mirren
Current form
0%
93%
Attack
42%
52%
Defence
48%
53%
Overall strength
26%
71%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
16%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.33–1.93, form 0/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Motherwell vs St Mirren (1 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.