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Football model football_v1

USL Super League

Carolina Ascent FC crest Carolina Ascent FC vs Lexington SC crest Lexington SC

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 23:00 · FT 1 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

53.1 low

Data quality

19%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Carolina Ascent FC

1.82

Expected goals

total 3.40

Lexington SC

1.58

Metric Carolina Ascent FC Lexington SC
Current form
50%
38%
Attack
50%
61%
Defence
50%
39%
Overall strength
52%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.82–1.58, form 50/38, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome LOST · Lost — Carolina Ascent FC vs Lexington SC (1 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.