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Football model football_v1

Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab crest Al Shabab vs Al Ahli crest Al Ahli

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 · FT 6 - 1

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

56.5 low

Data quality

19%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Al Shabab

2.04

Expected goals

total 4.54

Al Ahli

2.50

Metric Al Shabab Al Ahli
Current form
50%
100%
Attack
50%
58%
Defence
50%
54%
Overall strength
52%
78%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
25%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.04–2.50, form 50/100, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — Al Shabab vs Al Ahli (6 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.