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Football model football_v1

Carabao Cup

Everton crest Everton vs Newcastle United crest Newcastle United

Thu 29 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 3 - 1

Double Chance

12

Confidence

63.0 medium

Data quality

52%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Everton

1.54

Expected goals

total 2.79

Newcastle United

1.24

Metric Everton Newcastle United
Current form
34%
31%
Attack
37%
49%
Defence
51%
31%
Overall strength
51%
45%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.54–1.24, form 34/31, H2H 50%, data quality 52%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 52%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — Everton vs Newcastle United (3 - 1), selection "12" => WON.