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Football model football_v1

German Cup

Holstein Kiel crest Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim crest TSG Hoffenheim

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 1 - 1

Double Chance

12

Confidence

55.6 low

Data quality

19%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Holstein Kiel

2.04

Expected goals

total 3.69

TSG Hoffenheim

1.65

Metric Holstein Kiel TSG Hoffenheim
Current form
50%
39%
Attack
50%
64%
Defence
50%
32%
Overall strength
51%
47%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.04–1.65, form 50/39, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome LOST · Lost — Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim (1 - 1), selection "12" => LOST.