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Football model football_v1

Carabao Cup

Liverpool crest Liverpool vs Chelsea crest Chelsea

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 20:00 · FT 1 - 1

1X2 (Straight Win)

1

Confidence

52.6 low

Data quality

52%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Liverpool

2.73

Expected goals

total 4.66

Chelsea

1.93

Metric Liverpool Chelsea
Current form
73%
47%
Attack
77%
61%
Defence
38%
42%
Overall strength
63%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.73–1.93, form 73/47, H2H 50%, data quality 52%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 52%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome LOST · Lost — Liverpool vs Chelsea (1 - 1), selection "1" => LOST.