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Football model football_v1

Carabao Cup

Sunderland crest Sunderland vs Brentford crest Brentford

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 3 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

69.3 medium

Data quality

68%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Sunderland

1.42

Expected goals

total 3.46

Brentford

2.04

Metric Sunderland Brentford
Current form
32%
45%
Attack
46%
59%
Defence
34%
49%
Overall strength
50%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.42–2.04, form 32/45, H2H 50%, data quality 68%. Missing: standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 68%

Missing sources: standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — Sunderland vs Brentford (3 - 2), selection "12" => WON.