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Football model football_v1

NCAAM Soccer

Incarnate Word crest Incarnate Word vs Eastern Illinois crest Eastern Illinois

Mon 09 Nov 2026, 01:50 · FT 2 - 5

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

71.1 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Incarnate Word

1.93

Expected goals

total 3.92

Eastern Illinois

2.00

Metric Incarnate Word Eastern Illinois
Current form
0%
8%
Attack
53%
47%
Defence
31%
47%
Overall strength
27%
31%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
43%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.93–2.00, form 0/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Incarnate Word vs Eastern Illinois (2 - 5), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.