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Football model football_v1

Bundesliga

FC Cologne crest FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen crest Bayer Leverkusen

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:30 · FT 1 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.2 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

FC Cologne

1.14

Expected goals

total 3.02

Bayer Leverkusen

1.88

Metric FC Cologne Bayer Leverkusen
Current form
35%
79%
Attack
35%
62%
Defence
58%
59%
Overall strength
53%
68%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
31%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.14–1.88, form 35/79, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen (1 - 2), selection "12" => WON.