Football model
football_v1
Libertad (Ecuador)
vs
Emelec
LigaPro Ecuador
Sat 07 Nov 2026, 19:00 · FT 0 - 1
Model probability
55.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence
54.4 low
Data quality
84%
sample 1
Model projection
Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.
Libertad (Ecuador)
1.40
Expected goals
total 2.89
Emelec
1.49
| Metric | Libertad (Ecuador) | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Attack |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
- Head-to-head (home share)
- 50%
- League position
- 45%
- Availability (injuries)
- 100%
Why this prediction?
Poisson model — expected goals 1.40–1.49, form 0/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.
Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%
Missing sources: h2h
Outcome
LOST
· Lost — Libertad (Ecuador) vs Emelec (0 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.