← All predictions
Football model football_v1

Liga de Expansion MX

Club Atlético Morelia crest Club Atlético Morelia vs Venados FC crest Venados FC

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 01:00 · FT 2 - 1

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

62.2 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Club Atlético Morelia

1.79

Expected goals

total 3.32

Venados FC

1.53

Metric Club Atlético Morelia Venados FC
Current form
93%
93%
Attack
54%
61%
Defence
52%
46%
Overall strength
73%
71%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
48%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.79–1.53, form 93/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Club Atlético Morelia vs Venados FC (2 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.