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Football model football_v1

Liga MX

Pumas UNAM crest Pumas UNAM vs América crest América

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:10 · FT 2 - 2

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

54.7 low

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Pumas UNAM

1.68

Expected goals

total 2.91

América

1.23

Metric Pumas UNAM América
Current form
38%
8%
Attack
48%
48%
Defence
52%
46%
Overall strength
50%
36%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
62%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.68–1.23, form 38/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Pumas UNAM vs América (2 - 2), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.