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Football model football_v1

Liga MX

Toluca crest Toluca vs Monterrey crest Monterrey

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 01:00 · FT 4 - 0

Double Chance

12

Confidence

70.4 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Toluca

1.50

Expected goals

total 2.57

Monterrey

1.07

Metric Toluca Monterrey
Current form
38%
8%
Attack
48%
42%
Defence
52%
52%
Overall strength
52%
35%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
67%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.50–1.07, form 38/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Toluca vs Monterrey (4 - 0), selection "12" => WON.