NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Wed 11 Nov 2026, 04:00 · FT 123 - 103
Model probability
89.9%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Oklahoma City Thunder
Confidence
71.9 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 6
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Portland Trail Blazers
103.8
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder by 14.7
Oklahoma City Thunder
118.5
- Expected total points
- 222.2
- League average (per team)
- 111.3
- Model edge
- 39.9 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 112.3 | 111.5 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 113.9 | 104.8 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 104–118, form 43/89, pace 222.2 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
Outcome: LOST · Lost — Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder (123 - 103), selection "Oklahoma City Thunder" => LOST.
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